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post #1 of 30 (permalink) Old Nov 4th, 2009, 09:11 PM Thread Starter
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Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

http://www.crunchsports.com/category...-200911030032/

Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

Crunch Sports Staff

3 Nov 2009


Serena Williams leads the pack.

With Doha complete and the women's tennis season all but over, it's time to start making your picks for who is going to win the 2010 Australian Open. That tournament, which isn't all that far away, will take place from Melbourne in early 2010 from January 18th to January 31st. Serena Williams, the defending champion and current world number 1, looks like a great pick to take the Grand Slam down and she is currently priced with odds that are long enough to warrant betting her.

Often a favorite to win a Grand Slam will be set at +250 (5/2) or shorter but in this case Serena Williams is still priced at +300 (3/1) with both Paddy Power and Ladbrokes. There is definitely value with that price for the American star that seems to elevate her game for Grand Slam events.

Here are the other favorites to win the 2010 Australian Open:

2. Kim Clijsters, +400 (4/1) bet365
3. Justine Henin, +500 (5/1) bet365
4. Venus Williams, +800 (8/1) Ladbrokes
5. Maria Sharapova, +900 (9/1) bet365
6. Elena Dementieva, +1400 (14/1) Ladbrokes
7. Victoria Azarenka, +1600 (16/1) Paddy Power
8. Caroline Wozniacki, +1600 (16/1) Paddy Power
9. Dinara Safina, +2000 (20/1) Paddy Power
10. Svetlana Kuznetsova, +2000 (20/1) Boylesports

Clijsters comes in as a top pick due to her victory at the US Open. However while she had a history of success in Flushing Meadows before this year's event, she's never won in Melbourne before. She isn't the best pick to make if you are betting against Serena Williams and she isn't all that active on tour.

A big story heading into the tournament will definitely be the return of Justine Henin to Grand Slam tennis. At +500 (5/1) Henin will probably be drawing a lot of action but going in as a wild card who knows what kind of draw she is going to be getting. She could end up with really challenging and/or exhausting early round match-ups that could really hurt her chances of winning the entire event.

Henin only won the Australian Open once back in 2004 so there's no need to get too excited about her without watching her first.

Venus Williams has never won the Australian Open and she will be turning 30 in 2010. Her play in Doha was certainly very tough but she still had a losing record there, going 2-3. She's been dropping too many matches to low ranked players to justify calling her and you have to wonder if she can win her quarter let alone the whole event.

Down the list, Maria Sharapova and Svetlana Kuznetsova really stand out.

Sharapova stands out because of her recent title against a difficult field in Tokyo about a month ago and because she won the Aussie in 2008. At +900 (9/1) you have to love picking Sharapova at this point.

Kuznetsova is also a great pick because she is ranked 3rd in the world and should have a favorable draw deep into the tournament. She has been playing exceptional tennis over the last year and while she's never been all that successful at the Australian Open, at +2000 (20/1) she has been priced right to gamble on for a first time win.

Our recommendation is to either pick Serena and then run with her win or lose or two-bet against her with Sharapova and Kuznetsova.

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post #2 of 30 (permalink) Old Nov 4th, 2009, 09:22 PM
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Re: Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

Surprised JH is so high.

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post #3 of 30 (permalink) Old Nov 4th, 2009, 09:41 PM
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Re: Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

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Originally Posted by Pureracket View Post
Surprised JH is so high.
No doubt. I might take that bet. Might make some money.

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post #4 of 30 (permalink) Old Nov 4th, 2009, 09:56 PM
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Re: Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

My TOP 5

1. Serena
2. Sharapova
3. Clijsters
4. Wozniacki
5. Henin
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post #5 of 30 (permalink) Old Nov 4th, 2009, 09:57 PM
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Re: Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

Is a par year so Serena won't win. I pick Venus.

21 and counting...
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post #6 of 30 (permalink) Old Nov 4th, 2009, 10:09 PM
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Re: Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

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Is a par year so Serena won't win. I pick Venus.
Venus has never won the AO, even or odd

Ivanovic * Kvitova * Serena
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post #7 of 30 (permalink) Old Nov 4th, 2009, 11:03 PM
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Re: Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

Justine being so high is a testament to how great of a player she is. Believe me after she gets warmed up at Brisbane, she will be one of the top 3 competitors in Australia, however I still predict Serena to win because who knows how bad of a draw Justine might get.


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post #8 of 30 (permalink) Old Nov 4th, 2009, 11:05 PM
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Re: Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

Serena has to be the favourite especially as venus has seemed so average at this tournament in recent years.
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post #9 of 30 (permalink) Old Nov 5th, 2009, 12:09 AM
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Re: Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

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Originally Posted by The Daviator View Post
Venus has never won the AO, even or odd
Ok...I don't really see the point of bringing that up

Justine 3rd, she hasn't even played a match
If I was a betting man, I'd take those odds on Vee


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post #10 of 30 (permalink) Old Nov 5th, 2009, 12:18 AM
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Re: Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

Wow, I seriously might take that bet on Venus. If I put $100 down then I WILL win $800 Haha but for real. Those are good odds to play I think for a 7 time GS Champ.

And in the offseason I expect Vee to do whatever she needs to do to comeback next season and be successful.

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post #11 of 30 (permalink) Old Nov 5th, 2009, 12:29 AM
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Re: Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

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Originally Posted by Inger67 View Post
Wow, I seriously might take that bet on Venus. If I put $100 down then I WILL win $800 Haha but for real. Those are good odds to play I think for a 7 time GS Champ.

And in the offseason I expect Vee to do whatever she needs to do to comeback next season and be successful.
If you put $100 down on Venus, then you WILL lose $100.
I'm surprised by Caro's odds. Why is she more of a favourite then Sveta?

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post #12 of 30 (permalink) Old Nov 5th, 2009, 12:30 AM
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Re: Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

Venus is a good deal at those prices, but in my view Kuznetsova is a downright steal.

AO has been her weakest GS though. It's funny. you'd think someone who won the USO and FO would do well on a hard court with high bounces....

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post #13 of 30 (permalink) Old Nov 5th, 2009, 12:54 AM
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Re: Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

I desperately do not want Serena to win Aussie Open 2010 so she can win in 2011 and continue her streak lol!
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post #14 of 30 (permalink) Old Nov 5th, 2009, 01:09 AM
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Re: Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

Good odds for Maria. I see her winning it.

I like the attention to Caro and Vika. If they can both get healthy and Vika can get her head together in the off-season.. they could either sneak to the final.
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post #15 of 30 (permalink) Old Nov 5th, 2009, 01:26 AM
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Re: Australian Open 2010 - Serena Williams' Odds to Win Women's Singles

Justine's odds are so short because no one knows how well she'll perform yet. Kim's comeback probably helped matters too.

I like Sharapova's odds though. I don't think she's capable of playing any worse than this year, yet it was still pretty good considering the circumstances. She'll only improve from here.

Kuznetsova

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