5,1% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana - TennisForum.com
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post #1 of 22 (permalink) Old Jan 7th, 2008, 08:46 PM Thread Starter
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5,1% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana

This is it, I made some calculations... So, she has a great chance of not facing these players in the first round of the Australian Open! These players are the worst ones for Lindsay to play early on, Kuznetsova can also be considered... anyway, she must have a good tournament!

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Last edited by danieln1; Jan 7th, 2008 at 11:22 PM. Reason: wrong number
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post #2 of 22 (permalink) Old Jan 7th, 2008, 08:51 PM
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Re: 3,91% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana

Shouldn't it be more like 3.94%

(5/127)*100
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post #3 of 22 (permalink) Old Jan 7th, 2008, 08:54 PM
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Re: 3,91% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana

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Originally Posted by Dunlop1 View Post
Shouldn't it be more like 3.94%
3.937% actualy, but what is point of this thread?

and I'm not even fan of Ana Ivanovic... just an objective observer who realize how perfect she is

AMAZING BELGRADE MIRACLE: In just three years (2008-2011) 5 different players born in same city reach world #1 in rankings and several GS titles and finals (WTA singles: Ana Ivanovic and Jelena Jankovic, ATP singles: Novak Djokovic, ATP doubles: Nenad Zimonjic and Daniel Nestor... with notable performances of Bojana Jovanovski, Janko Tipsarevic and Viktor Troicki which is also all three born in Belgrade)
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post #4 of 22 (permalink) Old Jan 7th, 2008, 08:56 PM
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Re: 3,91% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana

so that almost 20 % of faci ng alteast one of them i hope she plays henin and double bagels her
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post #5 of 22 (permalink) Old Jan 7th, 2008, 08:57 PM Thread Starter
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Re: 3,91% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana

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Originally Posted by Cp6uja View Post
3.937% actualy, but what is point of this thread?
Because some people want Lindsay to face Henin in the first round, which is very unlikeable to happen... And because Lindsay said she didn´t want to face some of these players

TT: Singles (#85 CHR #85) F: MM Tokyo, ITF Maui
Doubles (#82 CHR#80) Titles:2016 ITF Maui (w/Davidspell), Kofu (w/Javi) 2015 ITF Maui, Lagos Slam, Bangkok, Gifu F: MM Istanbul, Tokyo; (w/Davidspell)
TE: Singles (4 CHR#1) Titles: Wimbledon, Antwerp, Doha, Stuttgart, Wuhan
Doubles: Titles: Australian Open, Miami, Wuhan, Bogota, Stuttgart (w/Wojcirej)
DTT: Singles (6 CHR#6) Titles: Zhuhai, New Haven; F: Wimbledon
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post #6 of 22 (permalink) Old Jan 7th, 2008, 08:59 PM
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Re: 3,91% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana

Assuming they all make it through, she then has aabout an 8% chance of meeting them in the 2r, if they all make it through roughly 16% chance in 3rd rd, roughly 32% in fourth round etc
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post #7 of 22 (permalink) Old Jan 7th, 2008, 09:01 PM
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Re: 3,91% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana

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Originally Posted by laatmaa View Post
so that almost 20 % of faci ng alteast one of them i hope she plays henin and double bagels her
no it's almost 4% chance of facing either one of those 5 players in the 1st round.
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post #8 of 22 (permalink) Old Jan 7th, 2008, 09:02 PM
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Re: 3,91% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana

so bassicly she [I]will[/I] face one of them soner or latet
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post #9 of 22 (permalink) Old Jan 7th, 2008, 09:14 PM
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Re: 3,91% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana

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Originally Posted by laatmaa View Post
so bassicly she [I]will[/I] face one of them soner or latet

That is of course IF!! she won't lose against someone else before meeting one of the big five.

Camille Pin is incredibly dangerous against players that aren't ranked in the top 20, and Davenport isn't for the moment
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post #10 of 22 (permalink) Old Jan 7th, 2008, 09:15 PM
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Re: 3,91% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana

Ok.
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post #11 of 22 (permalink) Old Jan 7th, 2008, 09:17 PM
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Re: 3,91% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana


1.
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post #12 of 22 (permalink) Old Jan 7th, 2008, 09:19 PM
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Re: 3,91% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana

She is still TOP player and her goals is not like for all other "about #50" ranked girls. She will try reach atleast QF and chances to escape all this 5 girls before QF is about 40%. For great player which in last ten years (1998-2008) only 4 times lose before slam quarterfinal (only once before R4) is same thing if she lose in R1, R2, R3, even R4. Her goals is ATLEAST quarterfinal so 1st round opponent in her case is not more important than 2nd, 3rd or 4th round opponent. Lindsay is now #52 and #54 for example is Martina Muller. Muller is tipical case where slam 1st round opponent is most important thing for her at GS and for elite players like Davenport is more important in which quarter or half of draw she will be...

and I'm not even fan of Ana Ivanovic... just an objective observer who realize how perfect she is

AMAZING BELGRADE MIRACLE: In just three years (2008-2011) 5 different players born in same city reach world #1 in rankings and several GS titles and finals (WTA singles: Ana Ivanovic and Jelena Jankovic, ATP singles: Novak Djokovic, ATP doubles: Nenad Zimonjic and Daniel Nestor... with notable performances of Bojana Jovanovski, Janko Tipsarevic and Viktor Troicki which is also all three born in Belgrade)
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post #13 of 22 (permalink) Old Jan 7th, 2008, 09:20 PM
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Re: 3,91% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana

What about in the 2nd round?

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post #14 of 22 (permalink) Old Jan 7th, 2008, 09:47 PM
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Re: 3,91% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana

Actually, that's not entirely correct. The odds are slightly higher because of the seeding system.

There are 128 players in the draw, only 96 of those can potentially meet any of those 5 in the first round. So it's 5/96= 5.2%

There's 1 chance in 3 that Lindsay will meet a seed in the first round, not 32/127. 1/6 that she'll meet a top 16 seed in the first round, 1/12 that she'll meet a top 8 seed.

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Last edited by gentenaire; Jan 7th, 2008 at 10:09 PM.
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post #15 of 22 (permalink) Old Jan 7th, 2008, 10:16 PM
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Re: 3,91% : The chance of Lindsay Davenport facing Henin, Serena, Venus, Maria or Ana

Quote:
Originally Posted by ninanina19 View Post
What about in the 2nd round?
10.4%

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Last edited by gentenaire; Jan 7th, 2008 at 10:47 PM.
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