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post #1 of 104 (permalink) Old Aug 23rd, 2007, 05:00 PM Thread Starter
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Wertheim's Seed Report; Henin to Win title over Sharapova

U.S. Open women's seed report
Can Sharapova repeat? Or is a Williams sister lurking?
Posted: Thursday August 23, 2007 11:38AM; Updated: Thursday August 23, 2007 11:38AM



Injuries, ugly losses and a lack of confidence have plagued Maria Sharapova since she won her second major last year in Flushing.
Jessie Kluetmeier/SI


SI.com's Jon Wertheim breaks down the men's and women's seeds at the U.S. Open. Read on for the top first-round matchups, dark horses to keep an eye on and his predicted winners.

The women's field is essentially a tale of two draws. One half features all three 2007 Grand Slam winners (Serena Williams, Justine Henin and Venus Williams) as well the two ascending Serbs, Jelena Jankovic and Ana Ivanovic. The other half features ... well ... providence, thy name is Sharapova.

Top 16 seeds


1. Justine Henin: Took a long time to return after that dismal Wimbledon loss to Marion Bartoli. But JH won in Toronto, playing typically savvy, unflustered tennis. Likely to play Serena Williams in the quarters for the third straight major. For our money, this is the de facto final.

2. Maria Sharapova: Last chance for '06 winner to redeem a generally lousy year. Yes, she's been struggling with a series of injuries, most notably to her serving shoulder. The lopsided losses in big matches suggest her confidence isn't what it once was. But with virtually every dangerous player quarantined to the other side of the draw, she should reach the final and could steal her third Slam.

3. Jelena Jankovic: There's plenty to like, both about her game and her Uzi-of-candor personality. But Hammerin' Jank still needs to take that final step and come away with a win on the biggest stages. Likely quarter against either Venus or Ivanovic ought to be thrilling.

4. Svetlana Kuznetsova: Since winning the tournament three years ago, she hasn't made many strides. She can hang with anyone, but tends to wilt against better players. Absence of competition could help her reach the semis.

5. Ana Ivanovic: Has the misfortune of facing Agnieszka Radwanska, Venus and Jankovic just to reach the semis! Winsome Serb will eventually, well, win some. But not here, not now.

6. Anna Chakvetadze: Chance to emerge from under the radar. Can she summon the nerves to beat Sharapova in the quarters? If so, she could be the event's breakout star.

7. Nadia Petrova: We've been burned in the past for touting her, but when her head is on straight and she's not self-flagellating, she's a top-tier player. A semifinal performance is hardly out of the question, especially given her draw.

8. Serena Williams: Obviously the big question is, "How's the thumb?" If it's healed, it's not hard to see her drawing support from the crowd and exacting some revenge on Henin. If she's still injured, Henin wins the match and, thus, the tournament.

9. Daniela Hantuchova: Can't complain about her draw, but she has fallen into a "make the middle weekend and then bow out quietly" rut.

10. Marion Bartoli: Failed to build on her smashing Wimbledon result on summer hard courts, but suddenly showed signs of life in Canada. Alas, she's in the Henin-Serena quarter and ain't surviving that.

11. Patty Schnyder: Loopy lefty tends to flame out early at the Open. She had a reasonable shot at the quarters thanks to the draw gods, but she's no threat to win.

12. Venus Williams: The big wild card. If she finds her Wimbledon form, she's thoroughly capable of winning the title for the third time. If not, it's hard to see her bluffing her way through Ivanovic and Jankovic.

13. Nicole Vaidisova: She's in the throes of an underwhelming year -- due in part to a bout with mono -- and the sponsor pressure is surely turned on high. On the other hand, she's in the mushy half of the draw. What better player is there to break through in New York?

14. Elena Dementieva: She's no longer an elite player, but she likes hard courts and has had her share of success at the Open.

15. Dinara Safina: Still another fine player consigned to the Henin-Serena quarter.

16. Martina Hingis: On the (gulp) 10th anniversary of her U.S. Open title, this is her last chance to salvage a disappointing year.


Seeds 17-32


If No. 12-seed Venus Williams is in the same form that won her Wimbledon, she could be the biggest threat in the women's field.
Bob Martin/SI



17. Tatiana Golovin: Highest-ranked Frenchie turned in some fine results with Mats Wilander in her corner.

18. Shahar Peer: Slowed a bit lately, but usually a force on hard courts.

19. Sybille Bammer: If Moms can win a few rounds, it will cement one of the nicer stories in women's tennis this year.

21. Alona Bondarenko: A future top-10er.

26. Sania Mirza: She has been playing some of the best tennis of her career
these past six weeks.

32. Agnieska Radwanka: Steadily climbing the charts.

Dark-horse nation


Meghann Shaughnessy: She sprained her ankle last week, but has been playing some of the better tennis of her career lately.
Agnes Szavay: Though she nearly had to qualify, the Hungarian has been on a roll of late.
Victoria Azarenka: A future top-10er.
First-round matches to watch

(And there aren't many, thanks to the 32 seeds)
Bartoli vs. Alexa Glatch: Big chance for young American to make news.
Katarina Srbotnik vs. Alicia Molik: Arguably the two finest net games in women's tennis.
Francesca Schiavone vs. Nathalie Dechy: A decent Tier-II final matchup.

Peer vs. Meilen Tu: Feisty American veteran has a decent chance to spring an upset.

Vania King vs. Shaughnessy: Two best American hopes not named Williams meet in round one.


Doubles winner

Cara Black and Liezel Huber


Semis

Henin vs. Venus Williams
Szavay (you have to make one long-shot pick) vs. Sharapova


Final

Henin vs. Sharapova


Winner

Henin
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post #2 of 104 (permalink) Old Aug 23rd, 2007, 05:04 PM
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Re: Wertheim's Seed Report; Henin to Win title over Sharapova

Shocker! Once again...for the third time...he calls the Serena/Henin QF the "de facto" final.

SF
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Re: Wertheim's Seed Report; Henin to Win title over Sharapova

shocker! he was wrong last time and he will be wrong again

Serena and Markus together forever
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post #4 of 104 (permalink) Old Aug 23rd, 2007, 05:08 PM
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Re: Wertheim's Seed Report; Henin to Win title over Sharapova

Bondarenk and Azarenka future top10...ok...Distant future!

NO


Jankovic suffers from severe Chinese syndrome! Only God can help her!
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post #5 of 104 (permalink) Old Aug 23rd, 2007, 05:09 PM
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Re: Wertheim's Seed Report; Henin to Win title over Sharapova

Quote:
Originally Posted by sfselesfan View Post
Shocker! Once again...for the third time...he calls the Serena/Henin QF the "de facto" final.

SF
and truth be told, the winner didnt come from that matchup like so many expected at wimbledon
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post #6 of 104 (permalink) Old Aug 23rd, 2007, 05:10 PM
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Re: Wertheim's Seed Report; Henin to Win title over Sharapova

blah blah i call a masha vs serena final

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post #7 of 104 (permalink) Old Aug 23rd, 2007, 05:10 PM
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Re: Wertheim's Seed Report; Henin to Win title over Sharapova

szavay in the semi serena to beat sveta in the final-third time lucky for this prediction??? hopefully
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post #8 of 104 (permalink) Old Aug 23rd, 2007, 05:11 PM Thread Starter
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Re: Wertheim's Seed Report; Henin to Win title over Sharapova

He is right. If Serena is injured, or not 100%, Justine will win that match up. I am calling a Venus-Sharapova final
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post #9 of 104 (permalink) Old Aug 23rd, 2007, 05:14 PM
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Re: Wertheim's Seed Report; Henin to Win title over Sharapova

Bondarenko- future top 10?!

I'm not sure that he saw her playing, if he did, I don't think that he would wrote this.....
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post #10 of 104 (permalink) Old Aug 23rd, 2007, 05:14 PM
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Re: Wertheim's Seed Report; Henin to Win title over Sharapova

How can he say that Ivanovic will struggle with Radwanksa... but that Chakvetadze, who got her ass kicked by Sharapova last time and was injured, has a chance to beat Sharapova?

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post #11 of 104 (permalink) Old Aug 23rd, 2007, 05:14 PM
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Re: Wertheim's Seed Report; Henin to Win title over Sharapova

Quote:
Originally Posted by KuzyIsNo1 View Post
szavay in the semi serena to beat sveta in the final-third time lucky for this prediction??? hopefully
Szavay would only have to beat a qualifier, Krakicek, Petrova, Hantuchova, and then Kuznetsova/Hingis.

Szavay is on the up and up with her play and confidence and has the game to take out all these players.
But she's unpredictable and could easily lose to Krajicek if she plays poorly.

He's got to make one surprise semifinalist pick. If a surprise semifinalist is coming from somewhere, she's coming from the third quarter.
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post #12 of 104 (permalink) Old Aug 23rd, 2007, 05:17 PM Thread Starter
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Re: Wertheim's Seed Report; Henin to Win title over Sharapova

Its kinda hard to believe 10 years ago was Hingis' win. Time flies ... also 10 years since Venus made her debute at the Open, reaching the finals. 10 years since the BUMP.
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post #13 of 104 (permalink) Old Aug 23rd, 2007, 05:18 PM
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Re: Wertheim's Seed Report; Henin to Win title over Sharapova

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Originally Posted by I<3Lindsay View Post
How can he say that Ivanovic will struggle with Radwanksa... but that Chakvetadze, who got her ass kicked by Sharapova last time and was injured, has a chance to beat Sharapova?
Isn't Rodwanska in Sharapova's draw anyway?
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post #14 of 104 (permalink) Old Aug 23rd, 2007, 05:19 PM
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Re: Wertheim's Seed Report; Henin to Win title over Sharapova

The long-shot is quite HUGE.
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post #15 of 104 (permalink) Old Aug 23rd, 2007, 05:20 PM
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Re: Wertheim's Seed Report; Henin to Win title over Sharapova

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Originally Posted by faboozadoo15 View Post
Szavay would only have to beat a qualifier, Krakicek, Petrova, Hantuchova, and then Kuznetsova/Hingis.

Szavay is on the up and up with her play and confidence and has the game to take out all these players.
But she's unpredictable and could easily lose to Krajicek if she plays poorly.

He's got to make one surprise semifinalist pick. If a surprise semifinalist is coming from somewhere, she's coming from the third quarter.
what are you smokin?
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