Oddsmakers Give Davenport Distant Shot To Win U.S. Open - TennisForum.com
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post #1 of 32 (permalink) Old Aug 27th, 2005, 01:51 AM Thread Starter
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Oddsmakers Give Davenport Distant Shot To Win U.S. Open

Oddsmakers Give Davenport Distant Shot To Win U.S. Open

Photo by Susan Mullane By Tennis Week
08/27/2005

She's played in two of the three Grand Slam finals this season and may well enter New York as the world's No. 1 player, but Lindsay Davenport is a distant choice among oddsmakers to captured her first major championship since the 2000 Australian Open.




Online betting site Sportsbook.com lists Davenport as a 12-1 shot to claim her fourth career Grand Slam championship at Flushing Meadows.

U.S. Open Series winner Kim Clijsters, who fell to Davenport in the fourth round of Roland Garros and Wimbledon, is a 2-1 favorite to collect her first career Grand Slam title at the U.S. Open.

Reigning Roland Garros champion Justine Henin-Hardenne, who beat Clijsters to win the 2003 U.S. Open, is the second favorite at 11-5 followed by current No. 1 Maria Sharapova, who is a 4-1 shot. Though they reside in the same quarter of the draw, the Williams sisters are among the top five favorites at the Open, according to Sportsbook.com. Wimbledon winner Venus Williams is a 6-1 shot and Serena, who has been limited to one match since suffering an upset loss to Jill Craybas in the third round of Wimbledon, is listed at 7-1.

Seeking her first career major, Amelie Mauresmo joins Davenport at 12-1 to take home the title.

On the men's side, world No. 1 Roger Federer is listed at 1-2 to successfully defend his U.S. Open crown. French Open champion Rafael Nadal, who has beaten Federer in two of their three meetings is 3-1, followed by 2003 U.S. Open champion Andy Roddick (5-1) and two-time champion Andre Agassi (10-1).

Though Federer has lifted four of the last seven Grand Slam title trophies, men's tennis generally draws more betting action that women's tennis, according to Sportsbook.com marketing director Alex Czajkowski.

"Mens tennis is generally more competitive and any men's player can win at any time," Czajkowski told Tennis Week. "The women's game has a few more dominant players, so the chances of picking and winning on a longshot in tennis are a bit better. We usually get a lot more bets on men's tennis."

Tennis does not come close to generating the dollars spent gambling on major sports, but the Grand Slam tournaments generally cause a significant spike in the amount of money bet on the sport.

"During Slams, the volume increases, but during non-Slams the volume ranks low compared to major USA sports such as the NFL, NBA and MLBN," Czajkowski told Tennis Week. "Generally, (visitors to our site) are recreational bettors, especially during Grand Slam tournaments where the volume picks up."


U.S. Open Men's Odds
  1. Roger Federer (Switzerland) 1-2
  2. Rafael Nadal (Spain) 3-1
  3. Andy Roddick (United States) 5-1
  4. Andre Agassi (United States) 10-1
  5. Lleyton Hewitt (Australia) 12-1
  6. Marat Safin (Russia) 12-1
  7. David Nalbandian (Argentina) 25-1
  8. Guillermo Coria (Argentina) 60-1
  9. Juan Carlos Ferrero (Spain) 60-1
  10. Ivan Ljubicic (Croatia) 60-1
  11. Carlos Moya (Spain) 60-1
  12. Andrew Murray (England) 60-1
  13. Nicolas Kiefer (Germany) 75-1
  14. Greg Rusedski (England) 75-1
  15. Taylor Dent (United States) 80-1
  16. Tommy Haas (Germany) 80-1
  17. Tim Henman (England) 80-1
  18. Thomas Johansson (Sweden) 80-1
  19. Mario Ancic (Croatia) 100-1
  20. Sebastien Grosjean (France) 100-1
  21. Field (any other player) 5-1
U.S. Open Women's Odds
  1. Kim Clijsters (Belgium) 2-1
  2. Justine Henin-Hardenne (Belgium) 11-5
  3. Maria Sharapova (Russia) 4-1
  4. Venus Williams (United States) 6-1
  5. Serena Williams (United States) 7-1
  6. Lindsay Davenport (United States) 12-1
  7. Amelie Mauresmo (France) 12-1
  8. Svetlana Kuznetsova (Russia) 20-1
  9. Mary Pierce (France) 25-1
  10. Anastasia Myskina (Russia) 30-1
  11. Elena Dementieva (Russia) 50-1
  12. Patty Schnyder (Switzerland) 50-1
  13. Shuai Peng (China) 60-1
  14. Nadia Petrova (Russia) 60-1
  15. Alicia Molik (Australia) 100-1
  16. Field (any other player) 10-1
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post #2 of 32 (permalink) Old Aug 27th, 2005, 02:34 AM
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That's pretty crazy. You could easily make a case that Lindsay should be the #1 favorite. Clijsters is deserving as #1, but Lindsay has beaten her in their last two meetings....
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post #3 of 32 (permalink) Old Aug 27th, 2005, 02:43 AM
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A distant shot?!?!? Getthefuckouttahere.... Those odds are stupid.
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post #4 of 32 (permalink) Old Aug 27th, 2005, 02:46 AM
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post #5 of 32 (permalink) Old Aug 27th, 2005, 03:34 AM
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I can tell ya now that if Lindsay see's that she will probably raise her arms and yell......."YESSSSSSSSSS."

Means less pressure on her and that's just the way she likes it.
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post #6 of 32 (permalink) Old Aug 27th, 2005, 03:36 AM
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post #7 of 32 (permalink) Old Aug 27th, 2005, 03:36 AM
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Serena with more of a chance than Lindsay
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post #8 of 32 (permalink) Old Aug 27th, 2005, 03:42 AM
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Davenport is one of the favourites in my book, considering how well she plays on hardcourts and how her draw as almost given her a bye to the semis, those odds are laughable. Once again it seems Lindsay will quietly progress to the business end of a slam without anyone paying much attention.
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post #9 of 32 (permalink) Old Aug 27th, 2005, 04:15 AM
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Cannot believe people are laughing at the bookmakers. They know more about tennis than 99% percent of the people on this board. It is how they make their living and decisions are made collectively. Huge amounts of money are at stake. Odds are so against Lindsey for two reasons, 1. a possible injury reoccurance, 2. and most importantly, she has a long history of choking up at slams, no win in over 5 years. Would be a good bet to make the semis or final but to win, no...
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post #10 of 32 (permalink) Old Aug 27th, 2005, 04:29 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jfk
That's pretty crazy. You could easily make a case that Lindsay should be the #1 favorite. Clijsters is deserving as #1, but Lindsay has beaten her in their last two meetings....
Stop making an ass of yourself.
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post #11 of 32 (permalink) Old Aug 27th, 2005, 04:30 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TFan1156
Cannot believe people are laughing at the bookmakers. They know more about tennis than 99% percent of the people on this board. It is how they make their living and decisions are made collectively. Huge amounts of money are at stake. Odds are so against Lindsey for two reasons, 1. a possible injury reoccurance, 2. and most importantly, she has a long history of choking up at slams, no win in over 5 years. Would be a good bet to make the semis or final but to win, no...
I agree with this, but why give Serena better odds on winning than Lindsay?
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post #12 of 32 (permalink) Old Aug 27th, 2005, 04:32 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Denise4925
Stop making an ass of yourself.
Haha. Riiiiiight. An insult from a delusional poster regarding a sensible prediction about a player who has made the most GS finals this year. What you say has a huge impact....
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post #13 of 32 (permalink) Old Aug 27th, 2005, 04:33 AM
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Originally Posted by jfk
Haha. Riiiiiight. An insult from a delusional poster regarding a sensible prediction about a player who has made the most GS finals this year. What you say has a huge impact....
Same to ya, dick! The odds are on winning, not making the finals, genius.
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post #14 of 32 (permalink) Old Aug 27th, 2005, 04:38 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TFan1156
Cannot believe people are laughing at the bookmakers. They know more about tennis than 99% percent of the people on this board. It is how they make their living and decisions are made collectively. Huge amounts of money are at stake. Odds are so against Lindsey for two reasons, 1. a possible injury reoccurance, 2. and most importantly, she has a long history of choking up at slams, no win in over 5 years. Would be a good bet to make the semis or final but to win, no...
This is true. and regarding serena having better odds, i think it's because even if she's injured , she's more likely to fight through and win matches than lindsay is, given the same circumstance
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post #15 of 32 (permalink) Old Aug 27th, 2005, 04:42 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Denise4925
I agree with this, but why give Serena better odds on winning than Lindsay?
Because Serena lives for slams, has won one this year, and a number of slams since Lindsey won her last. Lindsey seems to have developed a phobia about winning another slam. Even if she gets close, is quite liable to drop her game on the big points. That is why Serena is the better bet.
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