Who'll be number 1 in the race after RG ?
Here are the rankings in the Race (only count this year's tournaments):
1. Lindsay ----------- 1996 - (7)
2. Sharapova -------- 1995 - (7)
3. Amelie ------------ 1603 - (8)
[ 4. Serena ---------- 1598 - (6) ]
5. Patty ------------- 1563 - (12)
6. Clijsters ----------- 1428 - (5)
7. Justine ------------ 1420 - (4)
Sharapova and Lindsay are very very close : I don't understand people saying Sharapova has no chance being number 1 at the end of the year. (of course, she won Wimby, but Lindsay won lots of tournies after). But that's not the question here.
Both have difficult draw at RG : Clijsters in the 4th round for Lindsay, Justine for Sharapova. But Lindsay plays Srebotnik in the 1st round, and maybe Peng in the 2nd !!!! The one who'll go the further at RG will pass the other. If both lose in the same round, Lindsay'll probably be ahead of Maria.
To get to that 1st spot, Amelie will have to reach the finals. With her cakewalk draw, reaching the semis won't be a problem, but she'll then have to face (tired) Justine/Sharapova or Kusnetsova.
Patty too has to reach the finals beating top players : not that impossible especially if she has to play Davenport in the quarters. She's had a great training with Sharapova at Rome.
Kim and Justine too have to reach the finals : well, they'll probably have to win RG. Kim's draw is not really difficult. Davenport on clay isn't a real threat and Kim owns her. Schnyder in quarters, then maybe Venus in the semis.
On the opposite, Justine's draw is the most difficult. Martinez, Ruano Pascal (clay court specialists) in the 1st and 2nd round, then maybe Kusnetsova (who could have beaten her recently) in the 4th round, Sharapova in the quarters, a fresh Mauresmo in the semis !!!
But this makes the draw really interesting, and gives a chance for Justine for climbing fastly in the rankings.
And it's very impressive seeing those Belgians so high, though they haven't played AO where players receive a lot of points.
Your thoughts : who'll be first after RG ?