Can Maria Sharapova become #1 in the world if she wins Australian Open? - TennisForum.com

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools
post #1 of 49 (permalink) Old Nov 29th, 2004, 08:24 PM Thread Starter
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 31
                     
Can Maria Sharapova become #1 in the world if she wins Australian Open?

She is number 4 seed in Melbroune, so I think she has a lot of chances to make it.
So for the mathematicians, is it possible?
Old_Folk is offline  
Sponsored Links
Advertisement
 
post #2 of 49 (permalink) Old Nov 29th, 2004, 08:50 PM
Junior Member
 
tianitiani's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 22
                     
Don't Worry she is not going to win it. I guarantee you russian nuts.
tianitiani is offline  
post #3 of 49 (permalink) Old Nov 29th, 2004, 08:54 PM
Senior Member
 
jimbo mack's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: London
Posts: 8,720
                     
but would she number 1 if she did? i wanna know too!! lol
jimbo mack is offline  
post #4 of 49 (permalink) Old Nov 29th, 2004, 09:03 PM
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Posts: 7,843
                     
It would depend on how Davenport, Mauresmo and Myskina perform (both at the AO and at Sydney). In theory, yes, but it's a slim chance. I think Davenport would have to lose pretty early at both Sydney and the AO for Sharapova to pass her.
sartrista7 is offline  
post #5 of 49 (permalink) Old Nov 29th, 2004, 09:04 PM
Senior Member
 
Pengwin's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 11,876
                     
Quote:
Originally Posted by j-mac
but would she number 1 if she did? i wanna know too!! lol
where's GoDominique when you need him...
Pengwin is offline  
post #6 of 49 (permalink) Old Nov 29th, 2004, 09:07 PM
Senior Member
 
GermanBoy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Mr. Vain! :-)
Posts: 9,292
                     
Could Maria Sharapova be the new Britney Spears if she decides to start a singing career? Could she? Could she?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Avid Merrion
lol Alex, you're so goddamn demanding


Proud to be one of Jen`s Hell`s Angels!
GermanBoy is offline  
post #7 of 49 (permalink) Old Nov 29th, 2004, 09:12 PM
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 24,673
                     
The short answer is 'no', as long as Davenport and Mauresmo both play like top 50 players.

The technical answer is, 'sure'.

Here's what the points look like with the first three tournaments from last year dropped for the top four.

rk (proj) = rpts - wk1 - wk2 - AUS
-- ------ = ---- - --- - --- - --- -------------------------
01 (4324) = 4760 - 000 - 166 - 270 Lindsay Davenport
02 (4104) = 4546 - 000 - 226 - 216 Amelie Mauresmo

03 (3631) = 4012 - 000 - 079 - 302 Anastasia Myskina
04 (3464) = 3536 - 000 - 000 - 072 Maria Sharapova


It's only an 840 point gap.

Sharapova plays more than the three players ranked ahead of her (what exactly is the 'restriction' part of the AER, anyway?), but all have at least 17 tournaments. Davenport's 17th is 93, Mauresmo 1, Myskina 40, Sharapova 50. So whatever they gain, will be offset by SOME loss, except in Mauresmo's case.


Say Sharapova plays and wins Gold Coast and Sydney (On Rebound Ace. Oh yeah that's happening). And Davenport, Mauresmo and Myskina skip both. Now Sharapova is ahead of Myskina, and only 400-500 points behind Davenport. Then Davenport and Mauresmo both fail to make the final (which could easily happen), and Sharapova wins the whole tournament.

Voila! #1 Sharapova




Proud to be an American
Not blind. Not uninformed. We are party to atrocities. But the response of the world after 9/11 is worth noting. Even our most dire enemies offered aid. We should all be so lucky.
Volcana is offline  
post #8 of 49 (permalink) Old Nov 29th, 2004, 10:39 PM
Senior Member
 
vertigo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: sherwood forest
Posts: 1,895
                     
Thanks Volcana!! (No realistic chance then for Sharapova)
vertigo is offline  
post #9 of 49 (permalink) Old Nov 30th, 2004, 04:21 AM Thread Starter
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 31
                     
Oh wow, thanks Volcana. Maybe she only has a small chance.
But didnt she win Wimbledon when she was not a favourite too? or YEC.
So maybe she can.
Old_Folk is offline  
post #10 of 49 (permalink) Old Nov 30th, 2004, 06:13 AM
Senior Member
 
Sharapower's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: anywhere else
Posts: 3,538
                     
She's a favorite, for sure, she has the game and the guts to win it but the question mark for me is about her being able to cope with Melbourne tough conditions: the heat seems to bother Maria. She does well in UK or indoor tournaments but when it comes to playing outdoor, in the heat, she's in trouble, I don't buy the surface issue, the YEC surface is not that fast.
If she's capable of keeping up her physical shape, I definitely pick her as the winner. I think she is slightly above everyone as far as game is concerned, the YEC title probably boosted her confidence and she's aware that doing well in Melbourne is a great step towards the #1 spot so it's an extra-motivation if needed.
If she's consistent she could reach #1 by Indian Wells or Miami. She doesn't have that much to defend until the grass season.
Sharapower is offline  
post #11 of 49 (permalink) Old Nov 30th, 2004, 02:58 PM
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 254
                     
Quote:
Originally Posted by Volcana
The short answer is 'no', as long as Davenport and Mauresmo both play like top 50 players.

The technical answer is, 'sure'.

Here's what the points look like with the first three tournaments from last year dropped for the top four.

rk (proj) = rpts - wk1 - wk2 - AUS
-- ------ = ---- - --- - --- - --- -------------------------
01 (4324) = 4760 - 000 - 166 - 270 Lindsay Davenport
02 (4104) = 4546 - 000 - 226 - 216 Amelie Mauresmo

03 (3631) = 4012 - 000 - 079 - 302 Anastasia Myskina
04 (3464) = 3536 - 000 - 000 - 072 Maria Sharapova


It's only an 840 point gap.

Sharapova plays more than the three players ranked ahead of her (what exactly is the 'restriction' part of the AER, anyway?), but all have at least 17 tournaments. Davenport's 17th is 93, Mauresmo 1, Myskina 40, Sharapova 50. So whatever they gain, will be offset by SOME loss, except in Mauresmo's case.


Say Sharapova plays and wins Gold Coast and Sydney (On Rebound Ace. Oh yeah that's happening). And Davenport, Mauresmo and Myskina skip both. Now Sharapova is ahead of Myskina, and only 400-500 points behind Davenport. Then Davenport and Mauresmo both fail to make the final (which could easily happen), and Sharapova wins the whole tournament.

Voila! #1 Sharapova



I think u r working for WTA, :-)
loveactually is offline  
post #12 of 49 (permalink) Old Nov 30th, 2004, 03:53 PM
country flag xan
Senior Member
 
xan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: UK
Posts: 5,810
                     
So No. 1 is possible - even if not that likely....

AMAZING!

Go Maria!

[SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]

Official Hitman of the Maria Mafia
xan is offline  
post #13 of 49 (permalink) Old Nov 30th, 2004, 03:55 PM
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 51
                     
Its possible but no!!!!! not until be before clay season where anyone has a good shot to get number one from Davenport!!!!
WTAaddict is offline  
post #14 of 49 (permalink) Old Nov 30th, 2004, 03:56 PM
Senior Member
 
wateva's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 18,794
                     
go maria!

Kim Clijsters always in my heart

For the latest match previews and analysis, follow my blog: http://wonderfulwta.blogspot.com/
wateva is offline  
post #15 of 49 (permalink) Old Nov 30th, 2004, 04:08 PM
.
 
Stamp Paid's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: ...
Posts: 49,013
                     
Wow.


█████████████████ʘ
Stamp Paid is offline  
Reply

Quick Reply
Message:
Options

Register Now



In order to be able to post messages on the TennisForum.com forums, you must first register.
Please enter your desired user name, your email address and other required details in the form below.

User Name:
Password
Please enter a password for your user account. Note that passwords are case-sensitive.

Password:


Confirm Password:
Email Address
Please enter a valid email address for yourself.

Email Address:
OR

Log-in









Human Verification

In order to verify that you are a human and not a spam bot, please enter the answer into the following box below based on the instructions contained in the graphic.



Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Show Printable Version
Email this Page Email this Page



Posting Rules  
You may not post new threads
You may post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On

 
For the best viewing experience please update your browser to Google Chrome