Venus chances to make the YEC - TennisForum.com
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post #1 of 45 (permalink) Old Sep 13th, 2004, 03:47 AM Thread Starter
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Venus chances to make the YEC

What are her chances?..I really hope she makes it...
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post #2 of 45 (permalink) Old Sep 13th, 2004, 04:42 AM
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My question would be: Is she even interested in playing this fall? I would not be surprised if she doesn't play before Sydney.. By her standards, the year has been wasted and there is not much left to play for.. Would she play full schedule in Europe just for the purpose of qualifying in LA? I am not sure.

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post #3 of 45 (permalink) Old Sep 13th, 2004, 04:59 AM
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Maybe she's not concerned about qualifying for the YEC; I really don't think she is, but she may want to get her ranking up a bit going into the AO.


It's 2008 and I'm shopping for a new fave. Hell no! And Venus is still playing?


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post #4 of 45 (permalink) Old Sep 13th, 2004, 05:03 AM
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Slim to none..but no one in Los Angeles will attend anyways. Move it back to NYC!

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post #5 of 45 (permalink) Old Sep 13th, 2004, 05:04 AM
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They better move it back to NYC
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post #6 of 45 (permalink) Old Sep 13th, 2004, 05:52 AM
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GO SERENA! MARIA and CAPPY!

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post #7 of 45 (permalink) Old Sep 13th, 2004, 05:59 AM
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I hope the Williams sisters don't make it...I hate it when they win..
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post #8 of 45 (permalink) Old Sep 13th, 2004, 06:33 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Volcana
Let's assume she wants to make it, because otherwise, the question is moot.

01 MAURESMO......... 4527.00 18
02 MYSKINA.......... 4155.00 20
03 DAVENPORT........ 4057.00 15
04 HENIN-HARDENNE... 4004.00 13
05 DEMENTIEVA....... 3368.00 22
06 KUZNETSOVA....... 3014.25 21
07 CLIJSTERS........ 2815.00 10
08 CAPRIATI......... 2598.00 14
09 SHARAPOVA........ 2570.00 18
10 WILLIAMS......... 2273.00 09
11 ZVONAREVA........ 2146.00 24
12 WILLIAMS......... 2145.00 13

01-04 are just too far ahead.
Venus is currently earning 165 points per tournament (ppt).
She defends nothing the rest of the year.
So add 165 * 4 = 660 points to her total.
That's 2805. That WOULD get her in. BUT....
Serena will also only add points, and she's ahead of Venus, and earning more ppt.
Jenn will also only add points, and she's ahead of Venus, and earning more ppt.
Kim is ahead of Venus, but she's defending points.
Justine is just too far ahead.
Venus' best case scenrio, playing as she is now, is

01 MAURESMO
02 MYSKINA
03 DAVENPORT
04 HENIN-HARDENNE
05 DEMENTIEVA
06 KUZNETSOVA
07 CAPRIATI
08 WILLIAMS, S
09 SHARAPOVA
10 WILLIAMS, V

Looks to me like one out of Capriati, Sharapova, S.Williams isn't gonna make it.
Venus would have to win a Tier I, plus something else.
If she plays (and wins) Zurich AND Moscow, she could make it.

It doesn't matter who is defending points unless you are referring to players being under pressure to defend their points therefore making them less likely to gain alot of points at a certain tournament.
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post #9 of 45 (permalink) Old Sep 13th, 2004, 06:35 AM
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Volcana I would think someone who deals with stats as much as you do would know that the race to the champs standings are used to see who gets in the YEC not the 52 week rankings.
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post #10 of 45 (permalink) Old Sep 13th, 2004, 06:37 AM
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i think right now Vee is still in the top 8 point collectors for this season if she's healthy, I'm sure she'll play
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post #11 of 45 (permalink) Old Sep 13th, 2004, 06:47 AM
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She'll be ousted by Maria

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post #12 of 45 (permalink) Old Sep 14th, 2004, 12:27 AM
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I don't like the top 8 thingy


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post #13 of 45 (permalink) Old Sep 14th, 2004, 12:31 AM
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The player who needs to worry about the YEC is Clijsters, who won the thing last year. Before the USO she was in 17th place to go and was like 1200 points from 8th place, which is far from the 800 or so points she won last year after the USO and before the YEC. And at the YEC she won over 700 points. It looks like she may not even end the year in the TOP 10.
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post #14 of 45 (permalink) Old Sep 14th, 2004, 01:10 AM
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They should make it 16 players again instead of 8 !
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post #15 of 45 (permalink) Old Sep 14th, 2004, 02:05 AM
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If Venus intends to qualify for the YEC the two tournaments she's committed to doesn't demonstrate that.

Also, as far as I know, the YEC points have nothing to do with defending. They are earned per match won and do not have to be defended from one year to the next, just like Knizzle said. Of course not getting into the YEC could sink Kim lower than ever because her rankings points will be in jeopardy. Is there any possibility of her qualifying if she plays about six tourneys?

Again I say I don't believe Venus cares about qualifying, but if she adds a tournament or two we'll know for sure. Perhaps these commitments were based on her hope that she would do well leading into the USO and out of it.


It's 2008 and I'm shopping for a new fave. Hell no! And Venus is still playing?


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