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post #1 of 118 (permalink) Old Apr 19th, 2004, 07:54 PM Thread Starter
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The top contenders for the RG title as of mid April

The 2004 Roland Garros event will begin on May 24 and with the injuries that have incurred on the tour in the last few months, the names and the order of the top favorites have been affected by those events.

Here are my choices for the top contenders as of mid April, 2004:

1. VENUS WILLIAMS: After winning her first title , the Family Circle Championship (FCC), since Feb - 2003, over a derermined and skilled Conchi of Spain, on clay no less, showing an improved serve and forehand, I will give the Goddess of Tennis the nod as the leading contender for the title at this time. VENUS may have been off the courts, but she has lost none of her competetive tenacity and she displayed those skills to a high level in the FCC final.



2. Justine Henin-Hardenne: Even though she is currently suffering from a viral illness, JHH is still a soild #2 choice for the RG title at this time. She has a poor head-to-head record against VENUS, but has a more competitive record against SERENA so far. Being the current #1 player has inspired players to come at her with more intensity than they did in the past and she is also under a more intense media scrutiny than ever before as well.

3. SERENA WILLIAMS: If not for a reinjured knee, I would have possibly placed the Princess of Power at the #1 contender spot . Her re-entrance to the tour with a spectacular win at the NASDAQ-100, after nearly eight months away from the tour, was the most spectacular achievement of the year , equalled only by her sister's recent win at the FCC event. SERENA has the best technique on the tour and is only equaled in athletic ability by her big sis and if she is healthy at the end of May, she could possibly be holding another RG trophy by May 3.



4. Lindsay Davenport: Big Davey is a darkhorse contender, but she is in great physical condition and her already fine technique has been fine tuned by her new coach and these elements make Lindsay a definite factor at this years RG championship. Her main weakness has always been her lack of speed and footwork, but that has not hindered her from becoming a multi grand slam winner in the past.

5. Kim Clijsters: The only one of my main contenders who does not already possess a GS title and is currently recovering from a wrist injury. As long as VENUS, SERENA and JHH are in top form and uninjured, then the likelihood of Kim winning this slam or any slam title in the immediate future is somewhat dim at this time.

Other possibilities:

6. Amelie Mauresmo: If Momo has no problems with her back, she is mentally prepared, has a great draw, injuries occur to top contenders, upsets occur to top contenders, the crowd is behind her and her personal life is in order then she might have a good chance to take this title.

7. Elena Dementieva: If a TV movie is produced with the plot being a blonde, Russian athlete, with a thick accent, winning the Roland Garros title and they are unable to get Anna K. or any another blonde walking around the Santa Monica Pier area, then Elena is your girl . In reality, she has about as much chance of winning this title as Miss Kournikova.

Those are my picks.

TR Bye, bye

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post #2 of 118 (permalink) Old Apr 19th, 2004, 07:57 PM
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sorry dont agree i think that kim clijsters has as much chance as any if fully fit and im backing her all the way
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post #3 of 118 (permalink) Old Apr 19th, 2004, 07:58 PM
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Venus the #1 contender

Don't think so.
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post #4 of 118 (permalink) Old Apr 19th, 2004, 08:00 PM
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I think those are good picks, but good picks in no particular order.
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post #5 of 118 (permalink) Old Apr 19th, 2004, 08:00 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by monicAnna
Venus the #1 contender

Don't think so.
Considering Serena, Justine and Kim are all injured, Davenport's poor record as of late against Venus; Mauresmo's injured/head case; Capriati's poor record against Venus...Venus is looking like the top favorite to me.
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post #6 of 118 (permalink) Old Apr 19th, 2004, 08:01 PM
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I think it would be this order JHH, Serena, Venus. This depends on what is actually wrong with JHH. If she actually has mono then I am not sure she will even make the second week. This is a really debilitating infection which takes several weeks (sometimes months) to really recover from.
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post #7 of 118 (permalink) Old Apr 19th, 2004, 08:03 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tennisIlove09
Considering Serena, Justine and Kim are all injured, Davenport's poor record as of late against Venus; Mauresmo's injured/head case; Capriati's poor record against Venus...Venus is looking like the top favorite to me.
I gaurentee you Serena, Kim and Christine will all be ready and eager to win the French. And they'll all beat Venus as well IMO.

Good luck to Vee though, I give her a shot to win, just not the favorite.
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post #8 of 118 (permalink) Old Apr 19th, 2004, 08:04 PM
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Nice picks, but you've got their orders all scrambled up... Do you really think Venus is seriously the top contender at the French?!

STEFWHIT'S MILLATARY RANKS:
The Commander In Chief: Steffi Graf
General: Serena Williams
Admiral: Kim Clijsters
Lieutenant General: Elena Dementieva
Major General: Myskina


nominees for Brigadier General:
Venus, Golovin, Lindsay, Petrova, and Pierce
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post #9 of 118 (permalink) Old Apr 19th, 2004, 08:05 PM
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It's too early to talk about this right now. No one has even played on red clay which is obviously the surface that RG is on.
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post #10 of 118 (permalink) Old Apr 19th, 2004, 08:06 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by monicAnna
I gaurentee you Serena, Kim and Christine will all be ready and eager to win the French. And they'll all beat Venus as well IMO.

Good luck to Vee though, I give her a shot to win, just not the favorite.
Serena will be ready. But Kim and Justine no one knows. We've heard reports that Justine's camp is in "fear of the French". Kim is again a mystery. We've heard things that she may be out until after Wimbledon!

As for them beating Venus. The only player in that group to beat Venus in a major is Serena. Until Kim and JHH prove otherwise, Venus is the favorite in that match up--although a Venus-JHH match in Paris would be interesting, because JHH is the best clay courter in the world.
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post #11 of 118 (permalink) Old Apr 19th, 2004, 08:09 PM
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i'd hold back on putting venus as the #1 fav until she wins one of the red clay events... but she's definitely done more on clay so far than the others, for what thats worth.
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post #12 of 118 (permalink) Old Apr 19th, 2004, 08:09 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by monicAnna
Venus the #1 contender

Don't think so.
well why not?
Justine's sick, and is 1-7 anyway
Kim's hurt, and is 2-5 anyway
Serena, unfortunately is hurt, and with only 1 healthy tournament its asking a lot
Lindsay hates red clay, and has lost 9 out of the last 10 meetings or something
and no russian has made a GS final.

I think if Venus can survive through the QF, she'll win the whole thing....regardless of how the top players are doing
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post #13 of 118 (permalink) Old Apr 19th, 2004, 08:11 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tennisIlove09
As for them beating Venus. The only player in that group to beat Venus in a major is Serena. Until Kim and JHH prove otherwise, Venus is the favorite in that match up--although a Venus-JHH match in Paris would be interesting, because JHH is the best clay courter in the world.
Er, I think their record vs Venus on red clay is just slightly more relevant than their record vs Venus in majors, which is... not at all relevant. And Justine leads that 1-0.

But yes, far too early to be predicting the favourites at all, let alone their order.
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post #14 of 118 (permalink) Old Apr 19th, 2004, 08:11 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by monicAnna
I gaurentee you Serena, Kim and Christine will all be ready and eager to win the French. And they'll all beat Venus as well IMO.

Good luck to Vee though, I give her a shot to win, just not the favorite.
I doubt Kim will be ready to beat Venus. Justine has a chance, but she hasn't had much luck beating Vee. Serena is the only one of those who has beaten Venus at a slam and would be favored to beat Venus again.
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post #15 of 118 (permalink) Old Apr 19th, 2004, 08:12 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tennisIlove09
Serena will be ready. But Kim and Justine no one knows. We've heard reports that Justine's camp is in "fear of the French". Kim is again a mystery. We've heard things that she may be out until after Wimbledon!

As for them beating Venus. The only player in that group to beat Venus in a major is Serena. Until Kim and JHH prove otherwise, Venus is the favorite in that match up--although a Venus-JHH match in Paris would be interesting, because JHH is the best clay courter in the world.

I love Venus but at best she's one of the favorites. To my knowledge neither Justine nor Kim beat Venus at last year's French Open. They didn't have to.

Venus I think is one of the favorites and her chances only keep on going up the better she plays and the more she wins. Fed Cup will be more playing time and match toughness, it all spells good things for her. One of the favorites for sure.

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