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post #1 of 14 (permalink) Old Apr 8th, 2004, 01:20 AM Thread Starter
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AI - Round of 16: Top two seeds through to final

But serious folks....

Looking at the remaining sixteen (16) competitors, I would would have to call this an easy draw for Justine. ANY draw is an easy draw for Justine. And facing these players, she may not drop a set. Obviously the Mauresmo semi looms, but most players don't win their first tournament when they return.
* Dinara Safina - JH2 had 10 double-faults, and a winner-to-error ration of MINUS TWENTY-FIVE (-25). And WON.

* Conchita Martinez - if only Conchi were 15 years younger ...

* Vera Zvonareva - We get a brief, (like about 48 minutes) look at the weaknesses in Vera Z's game.

* Amelie Mauresmo - Hmmmmmmm

NOTE: Justine's quarter retains ALL it's seeded players.
Code:
--------------------------------
01 Justine Henin-Hardenne
16 Conchita Martinez
12 Patty Schnyder
08 Vera Zvonareva
 
03 Amelie Mauresmo
__ Barbora Strycova
10 Silvia Farina Elia
__ Jelena Kostanic
--------------------------------
06 Ai Sugiyama / Catalina Castano 
09 Paola Suarez
__ Alicia Molik
04 Lindsay Davenport
 
07 Nadia Petrova RUS	
__ Petra Mandula
__ Karolina Sprem 
02 Serena Williams
--------------------------------
I wouldn't call this an easy draw for Serena. I'd call it an easy draw for Serena to figure out.
* Mary Pierce - Primary weapon, huge groundstrokes. Primary weakness, lack of foot speed, very extended swing.

* Karolina Sprem - Somebody tell me.

* Nadia Petrova - Primary weapon, huge groundstrokes. Primary weakness, injury-prone.

* Lindsay Davenport - Primary weapon, huge groundstrokes. Primary weakness, lack of foot speed

What does Serena like? Pace. What words do I keep seeing? 'Primary weapon, huge groundstrokes'

Serena actually has a better net game than all those players, except possibly Sprem since I haven't seen her. They'll all match power for power, while Serena figures out what to do. She probably won't face anyone who's BETTER than her on clay til JH2. But eight months is a long layoff.

NOTE: You'd think, on this surface, the Sugiyama/Suarez winner would have their best chance vs Davenport.

NOTE: Williams/Petrova - Smack will be talked.

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Last edited by Volcana; Apr 8th, 2004 at 02:04 AM.
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post #2 of 14 (permalink) Old Apr 8th, 2004, 01:27 AM
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Exclamation

To be honest with you, I thougt the match with Mary would have been closer, but it was a nice clean win for Serena. I think she will beat Spem and possibly face Petrova, though I will not count out Mandula; she could be trouble for Nadia and Serena too if Petra beats Nadia.
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post #3 of 14 (permalink) Old Apr 8th, 2004, 01:30 AM
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Sprem: primary weapons: first serve, groundstokes, speed, fitness
weaknesses: second serve, net play + choke factor in such a big match

ugh, why do they all suck????????
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post #4 of 14 (permalink) Old Apr 8th, 2004, 01:31 AM
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I pretty much agree w/ ya Volcana...Henin should have two more matches to sort her game out, before having to get serious against momo/serena.

I'd imagine Serena will roll over Sprem (just guessing based on Sprem lack of experience against the top guns). Petrova seems to be a hot-or-cold player...and from the FO last year, we know that when she's on she's REALLY on...and her mobility is a lot better than Mary's (but of course the russians are notorious for not showing up to the big matches 90% of the time...so Serena should roll). I wanna believe that Davenport has a chance against 'rena...but the lack of fighting spirit she has shown the last while on the tour makes me think she'll go down quickly too.

I hope that the pre-final rounds are much more competitive than they seem to be on paper...but, if not, at least we get to see the final we want
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post #5 of 14 (permalink) Old Apr 8th, 2004, 01:50 AM
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Davenport's net game is better than Serena's IMHO. Not by much, but still...Venus' is alot better than Davy's, but Serena's net play isn't exactly stellar.

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post #6 of 14 (permalink) Old Apr 8th, 2004, 01:56 AM
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no patty will beat zvonareva and then smack down on henin.
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post #7 of 14 (permalink) Old Apr 8th, 2004, 02:10 AM Thread Starter
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mboyle
Davenport's net game is better than Serena's IMHO. Not by much, but still...Venus' is alot better than Davy's, but Serena's net play isn't exactly stellar.
Either or. Thing is, Serena's likeliest draw is almost all players who don't take ADVANTAGE of playing on clay. Patty Schnyder is a hideous draw on this stuff, but she's on Justine's side of the house. Serena could concievably reach the final without having return play a slice.

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post #8 of 14 (permalink) Old Apr 8th, 2004, 02:22 AM
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Nice analysis but still, I think you're wrong, I hope so. You also predicted Venus to win a slam over the last 2 years.

For me, I'm seeing an Amelie/Lindsay final!!!!!

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post #9 of 14 (permalink) Old Apr 8th, 2004, 02:27 AM
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I agree with Matt...Davenport has a MUCH better net game than Serena, but what does it matter? It's not like Lindsay
1]comes to net a lot
or
2]is suddenly going to become a serve/volley player against Serena.

Petrova's biggest challenge is staying consistent. She has flashes of brillance, but also UFE.

It looks like a JHH/Serena final.
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post #10 of 14 (permalink) Old Apr 8th, 2004, 02:28 AM
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Final: Patty def Serena 2-6, 6-4, 7-5
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post #11 of 14 (permalink) Old Apr 8th, 2004, 02:31 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by switz
Final: Patty def Serena 2-6, 6-4, 7-5
Hopefully Serena won't have a match point like last time
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post #12 of 14 (permalink) Old Apr 8th, 2004, 02:48 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tennisIlove09
Hopefully Serena won't have a match point like last time
yes i thought that as well. patty saved it though serena didn't lose it if my memory serves. it's funny because that win over serena was probably the worst match she played in the tournament besides the final.
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post #13 of 14 (permalink) Old Apr 8th, 2004, 03:12 AM
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Well I hope the matchup does come into fruition.

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post #14 of 14 (permalink) Old Apr 8th, 2004, 03:35 AM
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Based on matches played so far, I have the strange feeling Justine won't get past Patty and Momo. Serena will have to beat someone other than Justine in the final.

** TP for Topaz or TennisPower **

"Playing aggressive tennis ... that's always the way to go, if you ask me." - Venus Williams, May/2002
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